2016 Democratic primary pool
Handicapping the 2016 democratic race
The game: Both JAS and PFS ante $150, to be spent bidding on Democratic primary candidates for the next election without an eligible incumbent Democratic president (likely 2016). JAS and PFS take turns putting candidates up for auction. Both players then bid, and the player with the higher bids "gets" that candidate at the midpoint of the two bids. The initial draft lasts 50 rounds. Money not spent on the initial draft is carried over, to be used in subsequent supplemental drafts.
The scoring: Candidates earn points upon reaching certain milestones related to the 2016 democratic primary:
- 5 points for announcing candidacy
- 10 points for participating in at least one televised debate
- 10 points for receiving at least one delegate
- 5 points for winning at least one primary/caucus
- 5 points for winning the Iowa caucus
- 5 points for winning the New Hampshire primaries
- 5 points if the candidate is still active and viable on March 1
- 5 points if the candidate is still active and viable on April 1
- 53 points for winning the Democratic presidential nomination
- 26 points for winning the Democratic VP nomination
- 7 points for being the first candidate to claim ability to win "big states" as justification for campaign
- 7 points to the candidate who uses the word "green" or a variant the most times in the first televised debate
- 7 points to the first candidate to use the phrase "windfall profits tax" during a televised debate
- 5 points to the candidate who uses the phrase "tax cuts for the rich/wealthy" or a variant the most during the first televised debate
- 5 points per state to any group of candidates who jointly claim victory in a given state
- Starting 9/30/10, a five-round supplemental draft will be held every year, through 2015.
- Money carries over from year to year; money unused after the 2015 supplemental draft is anted without any return.
- The person putting forth a candidate must bid at least 20 cents on that candidate. Ties go to the person who put forth that candidate.
- At any time, a player may "drop" one of his candidates to the waiver wire in exchange for 50% of the candidate's original bid price in cash, from the bank. A candidate on the waiver wire can be claimed by the other player for 25% of the original bid price, which then goes to the bank. A dropped candidate unclaimed after 10 days returns to the pool of all undrafted candidates.
- Any candidate who dies may be dropped to the waiver wire in exchange for 3 points, and no cash. However, if the candidate is claimed by the other player, then no points accrue, and 25% of the candidate's original bid price is transferred from the player making the claim to the player dropping the candidate.
- 3 points to any candidate currently serving as a US congressman, senator, cabinet member, president, governor, or nominee to one of the same who is implicated in a sex scandal (meaning an admission, a indictment, a resignation, or unassailable publicly available evidence).
- 2 points to any candidate currently serving as a US congressman, senator, cabinet member, president, governor, or nominee to one of the same who is arrested/indicted for DUI, obstruction of justice, or any felony. 4 points if that candidate is convicted on or before November 8, 2016.
If JAS earns A points and PFS B points, JAS earns $300*A/(A+B), while PFS earns $300*B/(A+B).
The draft: the draft is currently underway. We will add at least one name per day.
| Price | JAS | PFS |
Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $.72 |
Robin Carnahan |
Mike Quigley |
$.67 |
$.22 |
Ben R. Luján |
Andrew Cuomo |
$.73 |
$.20 |
Alexi Giannoulias |
Chris Gregoire |
$1.23 |
$3.02 |
Janet Napolitano |
Paul Krugman |
$.21 |
$10.80 |
Joe Biden |
Dave Freudenthal |
$1.41 |
$.92 |
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin |
Steve Beshear |
$.21 |
$2.01 |
Jon Tester |
Kathleen Sebelius |
$5.78 |
$.55 |
Russ Feingold |
John Kerry |
$.20 |
$.26 |
Gavin Newsom |
Harold Ford, Jr. |
$1.78 |
$3.27 |
Brian Schweitzer |
Jay Rockefeller |
$.20 |
$.90 |
Al Franken |
Eric Holder |
$.30 |
$5.64 |
Tim Kaine |
Dennis Kucinich |
$3.02 |
$2.96 |
Kay Hagan |
Hillary Clinton |
$47.91 |
$4.70 |
Jim Webb |
Tom Daschle |
$.22 |
$.50 |
Joe Sestak |
Sherrod Brown |
$4.26 |
$.20 |
Bill Owens |
Michelle Obama |
$.31 |
$1.68 |
Bill Ritter |
Corey Booker |
$.53 |
$.53 |
Kendrick Meek |
Barack Obama |
$.35 |
$.47 |
Jesse Jackson, Jr. |
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$2.20 |
Amy Klobuchar |
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$.57 |
John Sarbanes |
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